Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday


	Cova De Piedade		Penafiel

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.2	2.25
	2.75	3.2	2.35
	2.7	3.2	2.38
	3	3.1	2.36
	3.09	3.33	2.44
	3	3.2	2.35
	3.02	3.18	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.79)	3.2 ↓ (3.29)	2.35 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cova De Piedade
31.7%

Draw
28.9%

Penafiel
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

20.6%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cova De Piedade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cova De Piedade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penafiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cova De Piedade - Penafiel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Penafiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cova De Piedade won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Cova De Piedade won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cova De Piedade
Taça de Portugal
13.12.20	Cova De Piedade - Moreirense	2:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.12.20	Varzim - Cova De Piedade	1:3 ✺
28.11.20	Cova De Piedade - Feirense	0:0 ✺
25.11.20	Cova De Piedade - Benfica B	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.11.20	Marinhense - Cova De Piedade	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWTLW
- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
04.12.20	Penafiel - Leixões	1:0 ✺
28.11.20	Académico de Viseu - Penafiel	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.20	Penafiel - Marítimo	2:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
09.11.20	Penafiel - Chaves	1:0 ✺
01.11.20	Casa Pia - Penafiel	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
08.02.20	Cova De Piedade - Penafiel	2:2
24.08.19	Penafiel - Cova De Piedade	3:0
16.02.19	Cova De Piedade - Penafiel	1:1
22.09.18	Penafiel - Cova De Piedade	0:0
18.02.18	Cova De Piedade - Penafiel	1:3
10.09.17	Penafiel - Cova De Piedade	1:0
11.02.17	Cova De Piedade - Penafiel	1:1

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