Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday


	Cova De Piedade		Vizela

	1	X	2
	6.5	4	1.5
	6.75	3.25	1.55
	6.25	3.6	1.52
	5.8	3.9	1.53
	6.82	3.94	1.57
	6.5	3.9	1.52
	6	3.98	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.37 ↓ (6.4)	3.8 ↑ (3.67)	1.53 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cova De Piedade
14.6%

Draw
24.5%

Vizela
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

25.3%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

21.1%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cova De Piedade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vizela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cova De Piedade - Vizela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primeira Liga).

Recent matches Cova De Piedade is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vizela is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cova De Piedade could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vizela is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cova De Piedade won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cova De Piedade won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cova De Piedade
Portuguese Liga 2
01.05.21	Porto B - Cova De Piedade	5:1 ✺
25.04.21	Cova De Piedade - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Penafiel - Cova De Piedade	2:2 ✺
10.04.21	Cova De Piedade - Varzim	2:1 ✺
04.04.21	Feirense - Cova De Piedade	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTTWT
- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
02.05.21	Vizela - Feirense	1:1 ✺
24.04.21	Varzim - Vizela	0:3 ✺
19.04.21	Vizela - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
12.04.21	Académico de Viseu - Vizela	1:3 ✺
03.04.21	Vizela - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.01.21	Vizela - Cova De Piedade	2:1
07.05.17	Vizela - Cova De Piedade	2:3
17.12.16	Cova De Piedade - Vizela	0:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.06.16	Vizela - Cova De Piedade	0:0

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