Match Info

Date: 1 May 2021, Saturday


	Porto B		Cova De Piedade

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	7
	1.4	4.75	5.75
	1.42	4.5	5.6
	1.44	4.4	6.4
	1.44	4.84	7.18
	1.44	4.2	7.5
	1.43	4.4	6.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.63)	4.49 ↑ (3.77)	6.59 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto B
65.2%

Draw
20.7%

Cova De Piedade
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.6%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

14.9%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porto B's performance.

Cova De Piedade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-30.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porto B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cova De Piedade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Porto B - Cova De Piedade Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Recent matches Porto B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cova De Piedade is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Porto B is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Porto B won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto B won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
25.04.21	Académico de Viseu - Porto B	1:0 ✺
18.04.21	Porto B - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
10.04.21	Académica Coimbra - Porto B	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	Porto B - Arouca	0:3 ✺
29.03.21	Mafra - Porto B	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTLW
- Cova De Piedade
Portuguese Liga 2
25.04.21	Cova De Piedade - Oliveirense	0:0 ✺
18.04.21	Penafiel - Cova De Piedade	2:2 ✺
10.04.21	Cova De Piedade - Varzim	2:1 ✺
04.04.21	Feirense - Cova De Piedade	1:1 ✺
28.03.21	Benfica B - Cova De Piedade	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
04.01.21	Cova De Piedade - Porto B	1:1
01.12.19	Porto B - Cova De Piedade	4:1
17.03.19	Cova De Piedade - Porto B	1:1
11.11.18	Porto B - Cova De Piedade	2:1
04.03.18	Cova De Piedade - Porto B	2:2
27.09.17	Porto B - Cova De Piedade	2:0
09.04.17	Porto B - Cova De Piedade	4:0

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