Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 23

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Referee: Melo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Vizela		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.75	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.48	3.32	2.92
	2.54	3.43	2.93
	2.38	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.49	3.34	2.83	Watch
	2.46	3.3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.42)	3.31 ↓ (3.39)	2.85 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
38.3%

Draw
28.5%

Estoril Praia
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

27.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.5%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Vizela - Estoril Praia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Estoril will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estoril: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Buntic F. (G) 4. Jota Goncalves 5. Anderson Jesus 19. Lebedenko O. 82. Costa Silva T. 20. Samu (C) 10. Quina D. 28. Bruno Costa 6. Matheus Pereira 99. Essende S. 9. Petrov S.	99. Figueira Daniel (C) 13. Joao Basso 5. Volnei Feltes 22. Mangala E. 91. Heriberto Tavares 82. Fernandes M. 7. Vinicius Zanocelo 78. Araujo T. 10. Guitane R. 20. Joao Carlos 33. Marques J.
Substitutes
18. Awudu Abdul 73. Bursac N. (G) 22. Busnic A. 25. Escoval R. 8. Mendez A. 90. Nascimento D. 23. Rashid O. 14. Saint-Louis D. 29. Soro A.	11. Cassiano 48. Costa da Silva M. 98. Garcia Andrade F. 31. Marcelo Carne (G) 9. Marques A. 64. Ndiaye M. 2. Parra R. 17. Sy H. 6. Winther F.
Coaches
de la Barrera R.	Seabra V.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vizela won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Vizela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Estoril: Cabaco E. (Injury) Gomes R. (Red Card) Vital B. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Vizela: Ortiz P. (Injury)

There are questionable in Estoril: Holsgrove J. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Vizela won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Vizela won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Liga Portugal
18.02.24	Benfica - Vizela	6:1 ✺
13.02.24	Gil Vicente - Vizela	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.02.24	Vizela - Benfica	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.02.24	Vizela - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Arouca - Vizela	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLL
- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
18.02.24	Estoril Praia - Gil Vicente	1:3 ✺
10.02.24	Boavista - Estoril Praia	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Estoril Praia - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
31.01.24	Rio Ave - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
27.01.24	Braga - Estoril Praia	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
23.09.23	Estoril Praia - Vizela	2:2
04.03.23	Estoril Praia - Vizela	0:3
12.09.22	Vizela - Estoril Praia	0:1
02.04.22	Estoril Praia - Vizela	1:2
06.11.21	Vizela - Estoril Praia	1:1
Portuguese Liga 2
03.04.21	Vizela - Estoril Praia	1:1
29.11.20	Estoril Praia - Vizela	2:2

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