Match Info

Date: 24 April 2021, Saturday


	Varzim		Vizela

	1	X	2
	4.33	3	1.95
	4	3.1	1.9
	3.8	3.2	1.9
	3.75	3.1	2.03
	4.03	3.25	2.09
	3.8	3.1	2.05
	3.72	3.24	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↓ (3.93)	3.14 ↓ (3.22)	1.99 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
23.7%

Draw
29.6%

Vizela
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

28.7%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

18.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varzim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vizela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Varzim - Vizela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion to Primeira Liga).

Recent matches Varzim is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vizela is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vizela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Varzim won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
17.04.21	Feirense - Varzim	1:0 ✺
10.04.21	Cova De Piedade - Varzim	2:1 ✺
02.04.21	Varzim - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
26.03.21	Académico de Viseu - Varzim	0:1 ✺
20.03.21	Varzim - Mafra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWWW
- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
19.04.21	Vizela - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
12.04.21	Académico de Viseu - Vizela	1:3 ✺
03.04.21	Vizela - Estoril Praia	1:1 ✺
29.03.21	Leixões - Vizela	0:4 ✺
21.03.21	Vizela - Arouca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
29.12.20	Vizela - Varzim	1:0
21.05.17	Varzim - Vizela	0:3
07.01.17	Vizela - Varzim	1:2

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