Match Info
Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday
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 |
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 |
|
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Penafiel |
|
Cova De Piedade |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.1 |
2.95 |
3.5 |
|
 |
2.2 |
2.95 |
3.3 |
|
 |
2.25 |
2.95 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.34 |
3 |
3.67 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3 |
3.5 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.16 |
3.28 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.17) |
3.03 ↑
(3) |
3.39 ↓
(3.49) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Penafiel
42% | Draw
30.7% | Cova De Piedade
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Cova De Piedade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-14.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penafiel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cova De Piedade than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cova De Piedade could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Penafiel - Cova De Piedade Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 13). Penafiel is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Recent matches Cova De Piedade is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Cova De Piedade could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. Penafiel will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-8. Including matches at home between the teams Penafiel won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese Liga 2 | | | 19.12.20 | Cova De Piedade - Penafiel | 2:3 | | 08.02.20 | Cova De Piedade - Penafiel | 2:2 | | 24.08.19 | Penafiel - Cova De Piedade | 3:0 | | 16.02.19 | Cova De Piedade - Penafiel | 1:1 | | 22.09.18 | Penafiel - Cova De Piedade | 0:0 | | 18.02.18 | Cova De Piedade - Penafiel | 1:3 | | 10.09.17 | Penafiel - Cova De Piedade | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
