Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Covadonga		LEntregu

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.05	6.3
	1.41	4.1	7.39
	1.60	3.67	5.42	Watch
	1.4	3.8	7
	1.41	3.92	7.27
	1.41	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)	3.92 ↑ (3.9)	6.73 ↑ (5.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covadonga
63.3%

Draw
23.2%

LEntregu
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

23.3%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

22.6%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

LEntregu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LEntregu than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Covadonga - LEntregu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
58', 🟥,
65', 2 - 0, ⚽,
70', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 2.

Covadonga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

LEntregu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Covadonga is a strong favorite.

We predict that Covadonga will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Covadonga won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Covadonga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
06.12.25	Colunga - Covadonga	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Covadonga - Mosconia	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ceares - Covadonga	2:3 ✺
09.11.25	Covadonga - Caudal Deportivo	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Club Siero - Covadonga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWL
- LEntregu CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
06.12.25	LEntregu - Avilés Stadium	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Llanera - LEntregu	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	LEntregu - Real Titánico	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Llanes - LEntregu	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	LEntregu - Sporting de Gijón B	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
16.03.25	Covadonga - LEntregu	2:1
01.11.24	LEntregu - Covadonga	0:0
26.02.23	Covadonga - LEntregu	0:1
23.10.22	LEntregu - Covadonga	0:3
24.04.22	LEntregu - Covadonga	2:1
11.12.21	Covadonga - LEntregu	3:0
05.01.20	Covadonga - LEntregu	1:0

Covadonga - LEntregu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide