Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 22

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Balmoral Stadium (Aberdeen)

Referee: Wilson L. (Sco)


	Cove Rangers		Raith Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.35
	2.75	3.5	2.28
	2.75	3.3	2.36
	2.86	3.61	2.39
	2.7	3.3	2.25	Watch
	2.82	3.4	2.38	Watch
	2.7	3.25	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.41)	3.37 ↓ (3.48)	2.34 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cove Rangers
33.5%

Draw
27.3%

Raith Rovers
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

26.9%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

27.3%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cove Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cove Rangers's form might have worsened.

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cove Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raith Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Cove Rangers - Raith Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cove will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Raith will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raith: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cove won 3.

Recent matches Cove is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Raith is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Raith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cove won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cove won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cove Rangers
Scottish Football Championship
07.01.23	Cove Rangers - Queens Park	0:6 ✺
02.01.23	Inverness - Cove Rangers	6:1 ✺
23.12.22	Cove Rangers - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
03.12.22	Cove Rangers - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
26.11.22	Cove Rangers - Dunipace	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWTW
- Raith Rovers
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.01.23	Queens Park - Raith Rovers	0:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
06.01.23	Raith Rovers - Dundee	1:1 ✺
02.01.23	Hamilton Academical - Raith Rovers	0:1 ✺
23.12.22	Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton	2:2 ✺
17.12.22	Raith Rovers - Arbroath	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
08.10.22	Raith Rovers - Cove Rangers	3:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
24.09.22	Cove Rangers - Raith Rovers	0:1
Scottish Football Championship
30.07.22	Cove Rangers - Raith Rovers	2:0
Scottish League Cup
27.07.19	Cove Rangers - Raith Rovers	3:0
28.07.18	Cove Rangers - Raith Rovers	2:0
15.07.16	Cove Rangers - Raith Rovers	1:2

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