Match Info

Championship - Round 33

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)

Referee: Wilson L. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Grenock Morton


	Raith Rovers		Greenock Morton

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.9	3.35	3.95	Watch
	1.88	3.38	4.43
	1.91	3.38	4.11	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4
	1.93	3.42	4.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)	3.32 ↑ (3.16)	4.09 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raith Rovers
49.4%

Draw
27.9%

Greenock Morton
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

29.2%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

28.4%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Greenock Morton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Raith Rovers aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenock Morton than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rae J. (G) 2. Rowe J. 5. Fordyce C. 6. O'Connor D. 26. Stevenson L. 23. Easton D. 25. Montagu K. 8. Matthews R. (C) 14. Mullin J. 29. Nsio P. 11. Cameron I.	31. Johnson M. (G) 20. Comrie A. 27. Wilson I. 23. Longridge J. 3. Delaney Z. 21. Gillespie G. (C) 8. Blues C. 7. Moffat O. 22. Shaw N. 18. Garrity M. 9. Main C.
Substitutes
20. Brown S. 7. Chin R. 22. Doherty J. 24. Glavin A. (G) 9. Hamilton J. 10. Vaughan L. 3. Wilson E. 19. Winter A.	2. Ballantyne C. 11. Crawford A. 26. Lopata-White R. 24. Lyall A. 6. Moore K. 29. O'Halloran M. 25. Owens F. 1. Storer J. (G) 12. Taylor K.
Coaches
Imrie D.	Murray I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Blues C. ⚽, Moffat O. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', Montagu K. ↓, Brown S. ↑,
55', Moffat O. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Nsio P. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, Cameron I. ⚽, Rowe J. (A),
67', Moffat O. ↓, O'Halloran M. ↑,
70', Blues C. 🟨,
71', Matthews R. ↓, Vaughan L. ↑,
71', Rowe J. ↓, Doherty J. ↑,
71', Cameron I. ↓, Hamilton J. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Shaw N. ⚽, O'Halloran M. (A),
78', Easton D. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Garrity M. ↓, Lyall A. ↑,
82', Mullin J. ↓, Chin R. ↑,
84', 3 - 2, Doherty J. ⚽, Stevenson L. (A),
85', Blues C. ↓, Owens F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Greenock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Raith has had a series of home games.

In this match, Raith is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Raith won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Raith won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Raith: 19.82% Morton: 0.53%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Raith	10	6	2	2	15:6	9	20
9	Morton	10	1	1	8	7:18	-11	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raith Rovers
Scottish Challenge Cup
05.04.26	Raith Rovers - Inverness	4:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
27.03.26	Raith Rovers - Ayr United	3:0 ✺
24.03.26	Raith Rovers - Partick Thistle	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Raith Rovers - Airdrieonians	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL
- Greenock Morton
Scottish Football Championship
04.04.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Greenock Morton	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Greenock Morton - Arbroath	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ayr United - Greenock Morton	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Greenock Morton - Partick Thistle	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Greenock Morton - St. Johnstone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
14.02.26	Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers	0:0
01.11.25	Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton	1:1
06.09.25	Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers	0:1
26.04.25	Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton	1:1
25.03.25	Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers	3:3
16.11.24	Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton	2:3
05.10.24	Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers	2:0

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