Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 21

Date: 6 January 2023, Friday

Location: Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy)

Referee: Napier C. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sport 1+
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Scotland	BBC Scotland
Sweden	Viaplay


	Raith Rovers		Dundee

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.05
	3.45	3.35	2
	3.25	3.4	2.05
	3.65	3.63	2.02
	3.4	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.52	3.56	1.98	Watch
	3.25	3.35	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.73)	3.41 ↑ (3.08)	2.03 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raith Rovers
27.3%

Draw
27.1%

Dundee
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

29.5%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

29.3%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raith Rovers's form might have worsened.

Dundee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dundee's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raith Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dundee, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.7%	27.3%	50%

Raith Rovers - Dundee Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Raith will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Dundee will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dundee: 29.1% – 70.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Raith won 1.

Recent matches Raith is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dundee is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dundee will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Raith won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 9-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Raith won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
02.01.23	Hamilton Academical - Raith Rovers	0:1 ✺
23.12.22	Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton	2:2 ✺
17.12.22	Raith Rovers - Arbroath	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
10.12.22	Raith Rovers - Greenock Morton	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
08.12.22	Hibernian - Raith Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTTWL
- Dundee FC
Scottish Football Championship
02.01.23	Dundee - Arbroath	2:4 ✺
23.12.22	Ayr United - Dundee	0:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.12.22	Falkirk - Dundee	0:3 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
03.12.22	Inverness - Dundee	0:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
26.11.22	Dundee - Airdrieonians	6:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
12.11.22	Dundee - Raith Rovers	2:0
06.08.22	Raith Rovers - Dundee	0:1
Scottish Premier League
15.05.21	Dundee - Raith Rovers	0:1
12.05.21	Raith Rovers - Dundee	0:3
Scottish Football Championship
24.04.21	Dundee - Raith Rovers	2:1
30.01.21	Raith Rovers - Dundee	3:1
31.10.20	Dundee - Raith Rovers	1:1

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