Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry)

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Coventry City		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.4	Watch
	6.75	5	1.41
	7.5	5	1.42	Watch
	7.24	5.13	1.41
	6.53	5.05	1.43	Watch
	8	4.6	1.4
	7.2	5	1.41	Watch
	7.5	5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.28 ↑ (5.37)	4.94 ↑ (4.07)	1.41 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
13.1%

Draw
19.3%

Tottenham Hotspur
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

23.2%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

22.9%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tottenham Hotspur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tottenham Hotspur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	5.3%	89.5%

Coventry City - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: Tottenham Hotspur will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wilson B. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 2. Binks L. 4. Thomas B. 21. Bidwell J. 8. Allen J. 28. Eccles J. (C) 23. Thomas-Asante B. 5. Rudoni J. 11. Wright H. 37. Bassette N.	20. Forster F. (G) 14. Gray A. 6. Dragusin R. 33. Davies B. (C) 13. Udogie D. 29. Sarr P. M. 30. Bentancur R. 15. Bergvall L. 28. Odobert W. 19. Solanke D. 16. Werner T.
Substitutes
54. Andrews K. 51. Broad H. 40. Collins B. (G) 15. Kitching L. 10. Mason-Clark E. 7. Sakamoto T. 14. Sheaf B. 9. Simms E. 29. Torp V.	22. Johnson B. 21. Kulusevski D. 10. Maddison J. 47. Moore M. 23. Porro P. 3. Reguilon S. 7. Son Heung-Min 24. Spence D. 1. Vicario G. (G)
Coaches
Robins M.	Postecoglou A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Odobert W. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
25', Binks L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Udogie D. ↓, Spence D. ↑,
57', Allen J. 🟨,
62', Solanke D. ↓, Son Heung-Min ↑,
62', Bergvall L. ↓, Maddison J. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Thomas-Asante B. ⚽, Bassette N. (A),
70', Bassette N. ↓, Simms E. ↑,
71', Wright H. ↓, Mason-Clark E. ↑,
71', Eccles J. ↓, Sheaf B. ↑,
74', Werner T. ↓, Kulusevski D. ↑,
78', Rudoni J. ↓, Torp V. ↑,
86', Kitching L. 🟨,
88', 1 - 1, Spence D. ⚽, Kulusevski D. (A),
90', Maddison J. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Johnson B. ⚽, Bentancur R. (A),
90+4', Thomas-Asante B. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Coventry is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tottenham is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coventry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tottenham is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coventry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
14.09.24	Watford - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Coventry City - Norwich City	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Coventry City - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
24.08.24	Bristol City - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
16.08.24	Coventry City - Oxford United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWTW
- Tottenham Hotspur
English Premier League
15.09.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Newcastle United - Tottenham Hotspur	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Everton	4:0 ✺
19.08.24	Leicester City - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
05.01.13	Tottenham Hotspur - Coventry City	3:0

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