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Current Win Probability
Watford 32.7%
Draw 25.7%
Coventry City 41.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
24.6%
46.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
23.7%
47.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Watford than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Coventry City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
23.1%
53.8%
Watford - Coventry City Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Coventry will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 26.7% – 80.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Selvik E. (G) 2. Ngakia J. 25. Abankwah J. 6. Pollock M. 3. Goglichidze S. 10. Louza I. (C) 23. Mendy N. 66. Irankunda N. 8. Chakvetadze G. 42. Maamma O. 39. Kayembe E.
19. Rushworth C. (G) 20. Kesler-Hayden K. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 26. Woolfenden L. 21. Bidwell J. 29. Torp V. 6. Grimes M. (C) 23. Thomas-Asante B. 28. Eccles J. 14. Esse R. 9. Simms E.
Substitutes
12. Baxter N. (G) 16. Bola M. 15. Bove E. 20. Doumbia M. 17. Ekwah P. 43. Grieves J. 7. Ince T. 4. Keben K. 9. Kjerrumgaard L.
8. Allen J. 33. Brau M. 15. Kitching L. 10. Mason-Clark E. 16. Onyeka F. 4. Thomas B. 27. van Ewijk M. 13. Wilson B. (G) 11. Wright H.
Coaches
Still E.
Lampard F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Simms E. ⚽, Bidwell J. (A),
25', Louza I. 🟨,
25', Latibeaudiere J. 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Simms E. ⚽, Eccles J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 3, Simms E. ⚽, Torp V. (A),
62', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Bove E. ↑,
62', Mendy N. ↓, Grieves J. ↑,
62', Goglichidze S. ↓, Bola M. ↑,
70', Esse R. ↓, Mason-Clark E. ↑,
70', Eccles J. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
70', Kesler-Hayden K. ↓, van Ewijk M. ↑,
78', Irankunda N. 🟨,
79', Simms E. ↓, Wright H. ↑,
82', Maamma O. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
82', Louza I. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
85', 0 - 4, Torp V. ⚽, Allen J. (A),
87', Thomas-Asante B. ↓, Brau M. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Coventry is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 0.
Watford is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Coventry is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Coventry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Coventry is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Watford: Kyprianou H.
(Ankle Injury)
Mfuni S.
(Injury)
Vata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Coventry: Brau M.
(Muscle Injury)
Dovin O.
(Knee Injury)
Sakamoto T.
(Inactive)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
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Selvik E. (G) 
Ngakia J. 
Abankwah J. 
Pollock M. 
Goglichidze S. 
Louza I. (C) 
Mendy N. 
Irankunda N. 
Latibeaudiere J. 
Torp V. 
Thomas-Asante B. 
Bove E. 
Doumbia M. 
Ekwah P. 
Keben K. 
Brau M. 
Onyeka F. 
van Ewijk M. 
Wright H. 
Still E. 
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