Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 2

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Santos Pinto (Covilhã)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Covilhã		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.65
	2.31	3.25	2.75
	2.55	3.27	2.89
	2.33	3.12	2.64
	2.27	3.25	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.43)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)	2.75 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
38.8%

Draw
28.1%

Lusitânia
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.4%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

33.1%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

The chances for Lusitânia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Makaridze G. (G) 3. Casagrande P. 8. Gilberto (C) 20. Gildo 19. Joao Vasco 17. Opeyemi M. 80. Renato Luis 24. Tomas N. 7. Traquina 5. Ze Simao 10. Ze Tiago	33. Costa J. (G) 7. Borges M. 19. Fortes F. 17. Goncalves R. 3. Lytvyn D. 6. Martins H. 28. Mesquita T. 5. Nandinho 96. Nem Jefferson 10. Rosado D. (C) 14. Valente M.
Substitutes
99. Benedict E. 90. Campos P. 9. Chico Cardoso 15. Ferreira D. 87. Ferreira R. 82. Figueiredo B. 71. Joao Goncalo (G) 6. Moreira T. 23. Pereira J.	8. Abreu E. 66. Bamba Y. 12. Cerveira T. 77. Goba 23. Marco (G) 18. Pereira D. 21. Pereira M. 83. Ribeiro S. 44. Santos D.

Preview

Recent matches Covilhã is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lusitânia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lusitânia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
10.02.24	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Caldas - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
21.01.24	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	3:2 ✺
17.01.24	Covilhã - Amora	2:0 ✺
13.01.24	Oliveira Hospital - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWWL
- Lusitânia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
11.02.24	Lusitânia - Varzim	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Lusitânia - Sanjoanense	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Anadia - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Lusitânia - Canelas	4:0 ✺
06.01.24	Trofense - Lusitânia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
29.09.19	Lusitânia - Covilhã	4:2 ET

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