Match Info

Date: 21 September 2021, Tuesday


	Covilhã		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5	3.1	1.8
	4.75	3.55	1.75	Watch
	4.4	3.25	1.79
	5.07	3.13	1.83
	4.8	3.1	1.75	Watch
	4.7	3.48	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↓ (5.15)	3.27 ↓ (3.7)	1.79 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
19.4%

Draw
28.5%

Vitoria Guimarães
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

24.4%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

15.2%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitoria Guimarães might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covilhã, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitoria Guimarães, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Covilhã - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Guimarães could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Guimarães is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
17.09.21	Covilhã - Penafiel	0:0 ✺
11.09.21	Benfica B - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
29.08.21	Covilhã - Porto B	1:2 ✺
23.08.21	Vilafranquense - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
15.08.21	Covilhã - Académico de Viseu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLTW
- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
18.09.21	Arouca - Vitoria Guimarães	2:2 ✺
12.09.21	Vitoria Guimarães - BSAD	0:0 ✺
29.08.21	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	0:0 ✺
22.08.21	Vitoria Guimarães - Vizela	4:0 ✺
13.08.21	Estoril Praia - Vitoria Guimarães	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese League Cup
21.12.19	Vitoria Guimarães - Covilhã	3:0
Taça de Portugal
18.01.17	Covilhã - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1

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