Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	OneFootball TV


	Benfica		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	1.19	6.00	12.00	Watch
	1.25	6.50	9.50
	1.23	6.40	11.50	Watch
	1.21	7.77	13.09
	1.24	6.3	11.5	Watch
	1.18	7.65	12.00
	1.25	6.30	12.60
	1.21	6.60	11.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.29)	6.69 ↑ (5.25)	11.65 ↑ (9.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
77.7%

Draw
14.2%

Vitoria Guimarães
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.5%

17.8%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	9.5%	0%

Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Benfica (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Soares S. (G) 6. Bah A. 3. Circati A. 44. Araujo T. (C) 26. Dahl S. 18. Barreiro L. 36. Palhinha J. 27. Rafa Silva 25. Prestianni G. 21. Schjelderup A. 14. Pavlidis V.	48. Zych O. (G) 23. Strata T. 21. Borevkovic T. 28. Thiago Balieiro 13. Mendes J. 8. Nogueira G. 44. Doucet L. 17. Nogueira M. 20. Samu (C) 7. Camara O. 9. Jakupovic A.
Substitutes
72. Anisio 8. Aursnes F. 22. Duran J. 30. Echeverri C. 34. El Karouani S. 88. Freitas T. 33. Gabriel Indio 11. Lukebakio D. 16. Manu Silva 62. Neto J. 10. Sudakov G. 1. Trubin A. (G)	10. Alanzinho 19. Andersson V. 18. Arcanjo T. 82. Dias F. 98. Lucas Furtado (G) 2. Maga 6. Mitrovic M. 16. Mukendi B. 29. Ouotro P. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 5. Sidibe A. 56. Verdi S.
Coaches
Silva M.	Margarido T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Strata T. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Dahl S. ⚽, Pavlidis V. (A),
33', Nogueira G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
52', Barreiro L. 🟨,
55', Araujo T. 🟨,
57', Samu 🟨,
61', Schjelderup A. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
61', Barreiro L. ↓, Aursnes F. ↑,
66', Doucet L. ↓, Mukendi B. ↑,
67', Nogueira M. ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
73', Thiago Balieiro 🟨,
73', Rafa Silva ↓, Lukebakio D. ↑,
73', Bah A. ↓, Sudakov G. ↑,
73', Jakupovic A. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Sudakov G. ⚽, Echeverri C. (A),
81', Strata T. ↓, Maga ↑,
82', Pavlidis V. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
82', Nogueira G. ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Europa League (Qualification: ) and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 4.

Benfica is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Guimarães have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Benfica has faced a series of away games on the road.

The betting markets point to Benfica as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Benfica: Lenglet C. (Red Card).

Confirmed absences for Guimarães: Gui (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Benfica: Kaminski J. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Benfica has recorded 15 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:11 (averaging 2.2:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Benfica against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 23:4 goals (averaging 2.3:0.4 per game).

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Benfica: 25.11% Vitoria Guimaraes: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Benfica	8	6	1	1	24:7	17	19
15	Vitoria Guimaraes	8	1	2	5	5:10	-5	5

Last Results with these Odds

Benfica - the odds 1.29 are the expected chance of winning is 72.52%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
20.09.26	Porto - Benfica	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Milan - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
13.09.26	Benfica - Gil Vicente	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Moreirense - Benfica	0:4 ✺
05.09.26	Marítimo - Benfica	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWWW
- Vitoria Guimarães
Club Friendly
25.09.26	Chaves - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
20.09.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Académico de Viseu - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
21.03.26	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	3:0
01.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica	0:3
19.04.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica	0:3
07.12.24	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0
11.02.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica	2:2
02.09.23	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	4:0
18.03.23	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	5:1

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