Match Info

Date: 13 February 2021, Saturday


	Covilhã		Vizela

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.9
	3.6	3.1	2
	3.65	3.1	2
	3.9	3.1	1.98
	4.26	3.32	2
	4	3.1	2
	4.1	3.13	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.96 ↑ (3.83)	3.16 ↓ (3.19)	1.98 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
23.5%

Draw
29.4%

Vizela
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

29%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

22.2%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vizela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Covilhã - Vizela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 and 4).

Covilhã is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vizela is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vizela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Covilhã have a series of guest games.

Vizela will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
08.02.21	Cova De Piedade - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
18.01.21	Estoril Praia - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
10.01.21	Covilhã - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
03.01.21	Leixões - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
20.12.20	Arouca - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTTL
- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
07.02.21	Vizela - Porto B	0:0 ✺
30.01.21	Oliveirense - Vizela	0:3 ✺
26.01.21	Vilafranquense - Vizela	1:1 ✺
16.01.21	Vizela - Penafiel	3:1 ✺
10.01.21	Vizela - Cova De Piedade	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
22.09.20	Vizela - Covilhã	2:1
Taça de Portugal
24.09.17	Vizela - Covilhã	2:1
Portuguese Liga 2
15.03.17	Vizela - Covilhã	1:1
19.10.16	Covilhã - Vizela	1:1

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