Match Info

Date: 20 December 2020, Sunday


	Arouca		Covilhã

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	5.25
	1.6	3.4	5.5
	1.7	3.1	5.2
	1.71	3.25	5.2
	1.74	3.41	5.91
	1.7	3.3	5.5
	1.69	3.52	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)	3.32 ↓ (3.46)	5.37 ↓ (6.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arouca
54.8%

Draw
27.9%

Covilhã
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

26.7%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

22.5%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arouca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Arouca - Covilhã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Covilhã could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arouca is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arouca
Portuguese Liga 2
05.12.20	Oliveirense - Arouca	1:2 ✺
29.11.20	Arouca - Porto B	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.11.20	Arouca - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.11.20	Feirense - Arouca	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Arouca - Vizela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLWW
- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
07.12.20	Covilhã - Chaves	1:2 ✺
29.11.20	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.20	Salgueiros 08 - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
07.11.20	Casa Pia - Covilhã	0:1 ✺
31.10.20	Covilhã - Porto B	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
14.04.19	Arouca - Covilhã	1:1
16.12.18	Covilhã - Arouca	2:2
10.03.18	Arouca - Covilhã	2:2
30.09.17	Covilhã - Arouca	1:0
23.09.12	Covilhã - Arouca	1:1
Portuguese League Cup
28.07.12	Covilhã - Arouca	N/A

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