The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estoril Praia 75%
Draw 18.4%
Covilhã 6.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.5%
28.8%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.3%
22.9%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estoril Praia's performance.
Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Covilhã might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estoril Praia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Covilhã could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.6%
5.8%
8.7%
Estoril Praia - Covilhã Predictions
Users Predictions:
Estoril Praia will win
(89 of 104 users predict this - 85.58%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.83% – 92.33%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Primeira Liga and 13).
Estoril in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Covilhã is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Covilhã could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Estoril is indisputable favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Estoril won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.