Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 24

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Santos Pinto (Covilhã)

Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Covilhã		Benfica B

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.7	3.2	2.35
	2.8	3.2	2.33
	2.75	3.25	2.44
	2.87	3.34	2.6
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	2.71	3.4	2.43
	2.75	3.25	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.53)	3.23 ↓ (3.45)	2.41 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
33.3%

Draw
28.5%

Benfica B
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

26.1%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

25%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covilhã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	41.7%	33.3%

Covilhã - Benfica B Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Covilhã will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Benfica B will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 0.

Covilhã is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Benfica B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Covilhã could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Covilhã won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Covilhã won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 2
05.03.23	Nacional - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Covilhã - Farense	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Penafiel - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Covilhã - Tondela	1:0 ✺
06.02.23	Feirense - Covilhã	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.8 LWTWW
- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
04.03.23	Benfica B - Vilafranquense	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Leixões - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Benfica B - Torreense	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Benfica B - Tondela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
18.09.22	Benfica B - Covilhã	4:0
13.02.22	Covilhã - Benfica B	1:2
11.09.21	Benfica B - Covilhã	0:0
08.05.21	Benfica B - Covilhã	1:1
10.01.21	Covilhã - Benfica B	1:1
29.12.19	Covilhã - Benfica B	2:2
03.03.19	Covilhã - Benfica B	2:0

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