Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Referee: Torres M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Vizela		Penafiel

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	5	Watch
	1.58	3.9	5.3
	1.67	3.92	4.63	Watch
	1.61	3.84	5.19	Watch
	1.52	4	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	3.93 ↑ (3.85)	5.16 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
58.4%

Draw
23.6%

Penafiel
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

23.8%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

22.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Vizela - Penafiel Predictions

Users Predictions: Vizela will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomis A. (G) 40. Italo Henrique 22. Busnic A. 63. Obradovic S. 4. Rhyner J. (C) 17. Tavares M. 24. Morschel H. 5. Moha Moukhliss 20. Godwin O. 11. Thio 9. Manu	32. Femenias J. (G) 27. Negrao G. 4. Miguel J. (C) 3. Gustavo Fernandes 22. Xico 17. Kebe I. 8. Reko 2. lano Imbene 20. Santos A. 7. Vieira P. 37. Davo
Substitutes
66. Bamba K. 8. Bastunov A. 55. Hristov A. 6. Jota Goncalves 7. Loppy D. 14. Pierre L. 25. Ruly (G) 37. Sampaio J. 33. Schutte R.	75. Alloh T. 88. Alves R. 31. Balde M. (G) 36. Dani Molina 61. Injai M. 33. Moreira C. 5. Sanchez J. 95. Sery J. 10. Silva J.
Coaches
Sousa R.	Aira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Santos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
51', 0 - 1, lano Imbene ⚽, Santos A. (A),
55', Obradovic S. ↓, Jota Goncalves ↑,
55', Busnic A. ↓, Schutte R. ↑,
55', Godwin O. ↓, Loppy D. ↑,
60', Vieira P. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
60', Santos A. ↓, Alloh T. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Italo Henrique ⚽, Loppy D. (A),
66', Negrao G. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
76', Rhyner J. 🟨,
80', Manu ↓, Bastunov A. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Davo ⚽,
87', Sery J. 🟨,
88', Davo ↓, Dani Molina ↑,
90+1', 1 - 3, Moreira C. ⚽, Xico (A),
90+7', Xico 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vizela won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Vizela is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vizela won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Vizela won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
29.10.25	Lusitânia - Vizela	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Vizela - Felgueiras	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Chaves - Vizela	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Vizela - Leixões	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.25	Sintrense - Vizela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLWL
- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
26.10.25	Farense - Penafiel	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Penafiel - Feirense	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Benfica B - Penafiel	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Penafiel - Felgueiras	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Portimonense B - Penafiel	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
26.01.25	Penafiel - Vizela	1:1
18.08.24	Vizela - Penafiel	1:2
Taça de Portugal
15.10.22	Penafiel - Vizela	3:4 penalties
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Penafiel - Vizela	2:0
Portuguese Liga 2
16.05.21	Penafiel - Vizela	1:2
16.01.21	Vizela - Penafiel	3:1
11.03.17	Penafiel - Vizela	3:0

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