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Current Win Probability
Covilhã 50.1%
Draw 28.6%
Rebordosa 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.2%
28.8%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.3%
27.6%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Rebordosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Covilhã - Rebordosa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
53. Oliveira P. R. (G) 4. Caveira T. 44. David Santos 11. Dener 19. Duarte L. 17. Filipe L. 55. Garcia F. 91. Paula G. 70. Peixoto R. 77. Ramalho D. (C) 10. Salgado L. M.
1. dos Santos P. (C) 2. Almeida Teixeira E. 3. Freitas Brandao R. F. 6. Goncalves L. 25. Leal E. 16. Pipo 4. Silva Fonseca S. F. 21. Silva M. 77. Soares Almeida D. 8. Touoyou Njoya A. 80. Ventura
Substitutes
16. Cornelio D. 79. Cunha V. 71. Joao Goncalo (G) 6. Maio F. 15. Nico 9. Paulinho 89. Piteira 13. Ribeiro P. 5. Ze Simao
20. Botelho G. 17. Carvalho R. 11. Co K. 22. Costa D. 10. Hudson B. 31. Mota R. (G) 26. Ribeiro Martins L. M. 49. Rocha R. 66. Santos I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Pipo ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Pipo ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Duarte L. ⚽,
35', Leal E. 🟨,
39', Goncalves L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Caveira T. ↓, Ze Simao ↑,
56', Ventura 🟨,
58', Paula G. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
60', Ramalho D. 🟨,
64', 1 - 3, Ventura ⚽,
67', Goncalves L. ↓, Santos I. ↑,
70', Peixoto R. ↓, Nico ↑,
78', 🟨,
79', Pipo 🟨,
79', Nico 🟨,
80', Leal E. ↓, Hudson B. ↑,
86', Garcia F. ↓, Cornelio D. ↑,
86', Filipe L. ↓, Maio F. ↑,
89', Pipo ↓, Botelho G. ↑,
89', Soares Almeida D. ↓, Ribeiro Martins L. M. ↑,