Match Info

Date: 19 March 2022, Saturday


	Cowdenbeath		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.2
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.25	3.15	2.12
	3.2	3.1	2.19
	3.15	3.16	2.32
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	3.15	3.3	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	3.14 ↓ (3.31)	2.19 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cowdenbeath
28.8%

Draw
29.3%

Stenhousemuir
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

27.8%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

21.3%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cowdenbeath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cowdenbeath than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cowdenbeath that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stenhousemuir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cowdenbeath - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cowdenbeath won 2.

Cowdenbeath has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Stenhousemuir is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cowdenbeath could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Stenhousemuir will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Cowdenbeath won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 26-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Cowdenbeath won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cowdenbeath
Scottish League Two
15.03.22	Cowdenbeath - Forfar Athletic	1:2 ✺
12.03.22	Stranraer - Cowdenbeath	3:0 ✺
08.03.22	Stirling Albion - Cowdenbeath	2:1 ✺
05.03.22	Cowdenbeath - Kelty Hearts	0:1 ✺
25.02.22	Edinburgh City - Cowdenbeath	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League Two
12.03.22	Stenhousemuir - Edinburgh City	0:0 ✺
08.03.22	Stenhousemuir - Kelty Hearts	0:1 ✺
05.03.22	Stirling Albion - Stenhousemuir	0:1 ✺
02.03.22	Edinburgh City - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Stenhousemuir - Forfar Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
15.01.22	Stenhousemuir - Cowdenbeath	0:2
16.10.21	Cowdenbeath - Stenhousemuir	0:2
21.08.21	Stenhousemuir - Cowdenbeath	1:1
24.04.21	Stenhousemuir - Cowdenbeath	0:2
08.04.21	Stenhousemuir - Cowdenbeath	1:0
31.10.20	Cowdenbeath - Stenhousemuir	1:1
08.02.20	Stenhousemuir - Cowdenbeath	2:2

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