Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 5

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego (Kraków)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 6
Germany	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cracovia		Wieczysta Kraków

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3	Watch
	2.25	3.30	3.00
	2.08	3.3	3.25
	2.29	3.45	3.29
	2.24	3.44	3.22	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.2
	2.2	3.28	3.2	Watch
	2.23	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.03)	3.33 ↓ (3.34)	3.15 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia
42.3%

Draw
28.1%

Wieczysta Kraków
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.6%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

26.4%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Wieczysta Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cracovia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Cracovia - Wieczysta Kraków Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 1 - 50%). Wieczysta (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Wieczysta (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Cracovia (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cracovia will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cracovia (votes: 2 - 50%). Wieczysta (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Madejski S. (G) 79. Pila D. 4. Henriksson G. 61. Traore B. 39. Perkovic M. (C) 14. Hasic A. 43. Klich M. 6. Al Ammari A. 70. Kameri D. 17. Minchev M. 18. Zahiroleslam K.	1. Mikulko A. (G) 17. Dankowski K. 24. Wieteska M. 16. Milic A. 27. Vojtko M. 70. Pusic P. 20. Maigaard M. (C) 12. Piazon L. 7. Semedo L. 10. Christensen T. 97. Mras T.
Substitutes
22. Baumgartner D. 90. Berte M. 28. Burlet V. 29. Dej W. 15. Glik K. 25. Kakabadze O. 20. Knap K. 47. Ltaief S. 7. Praszelik M. 23. Ravas H. (G) 5. Selan B. 21. Smiglewski K.	21. Bialek B. 26. Cavlina N. (G) 15. Djermanovic A. 55. Dujmovic D. 4. Fila K. 11. Knezevic N. 8. Lederman B. 88. Lungoyi C. 23. Miki Villar 13. Zagrodzki K.
Coaches
Grzelak B.	Moskal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Wieteska M. ⚽,
28', Wieteska M. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Perkovic M. ⚽, Klich M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Semedo L. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Kameri D. ↓, Kakabadze O. ↑,
61', Zahiroleslam K. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
66', Mras T. ↓, Miki Villar ↑,
66', Pusic P. ↓, Lederman B. ↑,
69', Minchev M. ↓, Ltaief S. ↑,
70', Klich M. ↓, Praszelik M. ↑,
78', 2 - 2, Hasic A. ⚽, Pila D. (A),
85', Christensen T. ↓, Bialek B. ↑,
85', Semedo L. ↓, Lungoyi C. ↑,
88', Dankowski K. ↓, Fila K. ↑,
90+3', Pila D. ↓, Glik K. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Hasic A. ⚽, Kakabadze O. (A),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Wieczysta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cracovia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cracovia: Baumgartner D. (Inactive) Knap K. (Inactive) Marchwinski F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Wieczysta: Feiertag S. (Inactive)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Cracovia: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cracovia	10	3	2	5	12:15	-3	11
14	Wieczysta Krakow	9	2	2	5	14:17	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
16.08.26	Cracovia - Raków Częstochowa	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
03.08.26	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Lech Poznań - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.26	Cracovia - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WTLTW
- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.08.26	Piast Gliwice - Wieczysta Kraków	3:4 ✺
01.08.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Radomiak Radom - Wieczysta Kraków	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Artis Brno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWL

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