Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 2

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana (Kraków)

Referee: Myc W. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Wieczysta Kraków		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.60	3.75	1.88
	3.2	3.65	2.02
	3.34	3.69	2.16
	3.16	3.88	2.11	Watch
	3.3	3.65	2.1
	3.23	3.64	2.14	Watch
	3.15	3.6	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (6.9)	3.67 ↓ (3.83)	2.07 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wieczysta Kraków
28.9%

Draw
25.6%

Lech Poznań
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

23.1%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wieczysta Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wieczysta Kraków's performance.

Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lech Poznań might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	8.3%	70.8%

Wieczysta Kraków - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Wieczysta will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Lech will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 52.6% – 89%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wieczysta (votes: 1 - 50%). Lech (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Wieczysta (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Wieczysta (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Wieczysta (votes: 3 - 75%). Lech (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mikulko A. (G) 17. Dankowski K. 15. Djermanovic A. 16. Milic A. 27. Vojtko M. 8. Lederman B. 20. Maigaard M. (C) 12. Piazon L. 10. Christensen T. 7. Semedo L. 88. Lungoyi C.	1. Lis M. (G) 2. Pereira J. 72. Skrzypczak M. 27. Monka W. 4. Moutinho J. 43. Kozubal A. (C) 24. Jagiello F. 10. Walemark P. 17. Sayyadmanesh A. 77. Palma L. 7. Agnero Y.
Substitutes
26. Cavlina N. (G) 55. Dujmovic D. 11. Knezevic N. 23. Miki Villar 97. Mras T. 9. Paulinho 33. Pestka K. 70. Pusic P. 44. Szymonowicz D. 24. Wieteska M. 13. Zagrodzki K.	20. Gumny R. 15. Gurgul M. 11. Hakans D. 9. Ishak M. 41. Mrozek B. (G) 22. Murawski R. 31. Obremski W. (G) 21. Rodriguez P. 23. Thordarson G. 59. Yegbe T.
Coaches
Moskal K.	Frederiksen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', Christensen T. 🟨,
12', Jagiello F. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
35', 0 - 1, Agnero Y. ⚽, Palma L. (A),
43', 0 - 2, Sayyadmanesh A. ⚽, Rodriguez P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lederman B. ↓, Knezevic N. ↑,
46', Walemark P. ↓, Murawski R. ↑,
46', Moutinho J. ↓, Gurgul M. ↑,
61', Sayyadmanesh A. ↓, Hakans D. ↑,
61', Christensen T. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
62', Vojtko M. ↓, Pestka K. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Piazon L. ⚽, Dankowski K. (A),
75', Lungoyi C. ↓, Miki Villar ↑,
76', Pereira J. 🟨,
76', Piazon L. 🟨,
77', Palma L. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
87', Milic A. ↓, Dujmovic D. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.

Wieczysta has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lech is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wieczysta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Lech is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Lech Poznan: 47.5%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lech Poznan	9	7	1	1	21:8	13	22
14	Wieczysta Krakow	9	2	2	5	14:17	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.07.26	Radomiak Radom - Wieczysta Kraków	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Artis Brno	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Dynamo Kyiv	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
31.05.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWLWW
- Lech Poznań
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Lech Poznań - AGF Aarhus	1:5 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.07.26	Lech Poznań - Cracovia	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	AGF Aarhus - Lech Poznań	1:4 ✺
Polish Super Cup
16.07.26	Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Lech Poznań - Podbrezová	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWWW

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