Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 17

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday


	Cracovia 2		Siarka Tarnobrzeg

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.65	2.18
	2.63	3.94	2.13
	2.44	3.37	2.58	Watch
	2.67	3.72	2.18	Watch
	2.22	3.6	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.18)	3.66 ↑ (3.51)	2.34 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia 2
36.2%

Draw
24.9%

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

25.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.7%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Siarka Tarnobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Siarka Tarnobrzeg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia 2 than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cracovia 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siarka Tarnobrzeg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Cracovia 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Siarka Tarnobrzeg will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6).

Recent form of Cracovia 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Siarka Tarnobrzeg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cracovia 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cracovia 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
07.11.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Cracovia 2	5:0 ✺
31.10.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Cracovia 2	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Cracovia 2 - Wisła II Kraków	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Stal Kraśnik - Cracovia 2	2:2 ✺
10.10.25	Cracovia 2 - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTW
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
31.10.25	Wisła II Kraków - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Stal Kraśnik	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Avia Świdnik	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Naprzód Jędrzejów	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
11.06.22	Cracovia 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:3
07.11.21	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Cracovia 2	1:0
28.04.21	Cracovia 2 - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0
19.09.20	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Cracovia 2	1:0

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