Match Info
League Two - Round 26Date: 10 February 2026, TuesdayLocation: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
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Crawley Town |
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Cambridge United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.2 |
3.4 |
2.1 |
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3.25 |
3.35 |
2.12 |
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3.33 |
3.47 |
2.2 |
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3.23 |
3.32 |
2.18 |
 Watch |
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3.1 |
3.2 |
2.15 |
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3.26 |
3.28 |
2.17 |
Watch |
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3.25 |
3.4 |
2.16 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↑
(2.56) |
3.35 ↑
(3.25) |
2.15 ↓
(2.52) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Crawley Town
28.9% | Draw
27.9% | Cambridge United
43.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crawley Town's form might have worsened.Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambridge United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crawley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambridge United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Cambridge will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 50.9% – 95.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Crawley (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Crawley (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cambridge United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Crawley (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Cambridge (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
35.  Chapman J. (G)
31.  Odimayo A.
42. Vassell T.
28. Flint J.
7. Forster H.
26.  Williams J. (C)
49. Darcy R.
12.  Richards L.
44.  Lolos K.
13. McKirdy H.
99. Orsi-Dadomo D.
| 1. Eastwood J. (G)
26. Gibbons J. (C)
23. Jobe M.
6. Watts K.
2. Bennett L.
21. McLoughlin S.
38. Hoddle G.
7. Brophy J.
14. Knight B.
17.  Mpanzu P.
9.  Appere L.
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| Substitutes |
4.  Bajrami G.
5. Barker C.
30. Copley L.
41. Gordon K.
19.  Pereira D.
32. Richards T.
| 4. Ball D.
25.  Hughes B. (G)
11.  Kaikai S.
19.  Lavery S.
24. Nevitt E.
3. Purrington B.
28. Raggett S.
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| Coaches |
Lindsey S.
| Harris N.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', Darcy R. 🟨,
- 42', Hoddle G. ↓, Ball D. ↑,
- 44', 0 - 1, McLoughlin S. ⚽, Gibbons J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 61', McKirdy H. ↓, Richards T. ↑,
- 61', Richards L. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
- 68', Brophy J. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
- 68', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 69', Knight B. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,
- 69', Vassell T. ↓, Bajrami G. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 2, Kaikai S. ⚽, Lavery S. (A),
- 89', Gordon K. 🟨,
- 90+4', Williams J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Mpanzu P. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
- 90+5', 0 - 3, Kaikai S. ⚽, Bennett L. (A),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2.Crawley has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Cambridge is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). Cambridge will hold a modest advantage in this match.There will not play in Crawley: Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Flower L.
(Inactive)
Malone S.
(Injury)There will not play in Cambridge: Kouassi K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayor A.
(Inactive)
Morrison M.
(Injury)There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Inactive)
Smith K.
(Injury)In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
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Outrights of English League Two for now
Cambridge Utd: 22.29%
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 40 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 57:30 | 27 | 73 |
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| 20 | Crawley | 41 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 40:60 | -20 | 37 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Cambridge United - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.24%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English League Two | | | 04.10.25 | Cambridge United - Crawley Town | 3:1 | | English League One | | | 01.03.25 | Crawley Town - Cambridge United | 0:2 | | 17.08.24 | Cambridge United - Crawley Town | 0:1 | | English League Two | | | 30.01.21 | Cambridge United - Crawley Town | 3:1 | | 31.10.20 | Crawley Town - Cambridge United | 2:1 | | 02.11.19 | Cambridge United - Crawley Town | 2:1 | | 26.12.18 | Cambridge United - Crawley Town | 2:1 |
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