The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crawley Town 59.2%
Draw 22.8%
Harrogate Town 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.1%
25.4%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
20%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-15.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crawley Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harrogate Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
Crawley Town - Harrogate Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Harrogate will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.75 - Harrogate (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Chapman J. (G) 5. Barker C. 42. Vassell T. 28. Flint J. 41. Gordon K. 26. Williams J. (C) 6. Anderson M. 16. Russell J. 32. Richards T. 49. Darcy R. 99. Orsi-Dadomo D.
1. Oxley M. (G) 30. Gibson L. 16. Headman C. 31. Heffernan C. 23. Sutton E. 8. Morris B. 4. Evans J. 3. Slater J. 22. Smith R. 37. Marsh A. 12. Acquah E.
Substitutes
4. Bajrami G. 7. Forster H. 13. McKirdy H. 31. Odimayo A. 19. Pereira D. 12. Richards L. 34. Wollacott J. (G)
24. Cass L. 44. Falkingham J. 13. Gray H. (G) 26. Horton G. 14. McAleny C. 18. Muldoon J. 7. Thomson G.
Coaches
Lindsey S.
Weaver S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Barker C. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Anderson M. ⚽, Barker C. (A),
31', Oxley M. ↓, Gray H. ↑,
32', Headman C. ↓, Cass L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Anderson M. ↓, Bajrami G. ↑,
47', Williams J. 🟨,
66', 2 - 0, Flint J. ⚽, Darcy R. (A),
67', Richards T. ↓, McKirdy H. ↑,
67', Russell J. ↓, Richards L. ↑,
68', Marsh A. ↓, Thomson G. ↑,
75', Acquah E. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
75', Smith R. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
76', Gordon K. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
87', Williams J. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4.
Crawley is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Harrogate has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Crawley has had a series of away games.
In this match, Crawley is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Crawley: Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Flower L.
(Inactive)
Malone S.
(Injury)
There will not play in Harrogate: Bennett M.
(Inactive)
Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Fox B.
(Inactive)
McCoulsky S.
(Inactive)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Harrogate: Hill T.
(Injury)
O'Connor A.
(Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 2:1.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
24
Crawley
8
1
2
5
8:15
-7
5
Last Results with these Odds
Harrogate Town - the odds 4.72 are the expected chance of winning is 19.48%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Chapman J. (G) 
Barker C. 
Williams J. (C) 
Anderson M. 
Russell J. 
Heffernan C. 
Bajrami G. 
Pereira D. 
Wollacott J. (G) 
Gray H. (G) 
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