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Current Win Probability
Cheltenham Town 16.8%
Draw 25.8%
Cambridge United 57.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.1%
26.9%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.6%
26.3%
51.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheltenham Town's form might have worsened.
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambridge United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cheltenham Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambridge United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cambridge United will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Day J. (G) 2. Jude-Boyd A. 6. Cundy R. 5. Wilson J. (C) 27. Tomkinson J. 4. Ashfield H. 26. Stevenson B. 23. Hutchinson I. 11. Thomas J. 9. Davison J. 20. Bickerstaff J.
1. Eastwood J. (G) 26. Gibbons J. 23. Jobe M. 6. Watts K. 2. Bennett L. 4. Ball D. (C) 17. Mpanzu P. 15. Mayor A. 14. Knight B. 11. Kaikai S. 9. Appere L.
Substitutes
14. Broom R. 7. Deeming C. 41. Diallo M. (G) 22. Faal M. 10. Miller G. 21. Nurse G. 8. Young L.
7. Brophy J. 38. Hoddle G. 25. Hughes B. (G) 19. Lavery S. 5. Morrison M. 24. Nevitt E. 3. Purrington B.
Coaches
Cotterill S.
Harris N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Kaikai S. ⚽, Jobe M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Ball D. 🟨,
61', Stevenson B. ↓, Young L. ↑,
68', Davison J. ↓, Faal M. ↑,
69', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
73', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
73', Knight B. ↓, Hoddle G. ↑,
84', Jude-Boyd A. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
84', Ashfield H. ↓, Deeming C. ↑,
86', Mayor A. ↓, Morrison M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Eastwood J. (Own goal),
90+3', Mpanzu P. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Cambridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of away games.
In this match, Cambridge is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Cheltenham: Harmon G.
(Inactive)
King T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Injury)
Kouassi K.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cheltenham won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Cheltenham won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Cheltenham: 1.26%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Cheltenham
10
4
3
3
16:16
0
15
Last Results with these Odds
Cheltenham Town - the odds 3.96 are the expected chance of winning is 23.1%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Cambridge United - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.99%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Day J. (G) 
Jude-Boyd A. 
Wilson J. (C) 
Tomkinson J. 
Mpanzu P. 
Kaikai S. 
Appere L. 
Faal M. 
Lavery S. 
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