The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crawley Town 31.8%
Draw 27.9%
Crewe Alexandra 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
28.4%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crewe Alexandra's recent form is better than expected.
Crawley Town - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mannone V. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Farquharson P. 5. Barker C. 22. Adeyemo A. 25. Krasniqi K. 20. Arthurs J. (C) 10. Duke-McKenna S. 8. Watson L. 7. Ebiowei M. 14. Di Biase G.
1. Booth T. (G) 2. Billington L. 6. Offord L. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 3. Hutchinson R. 17. Holicek M. 10. White J. 20. Agius C. 7. Lankester J. 14. Gibson J. 9. March J.
Substitutes
11. Aderoju O. 17. Kamara O. 13. Michalski N. (G) 24. Odimayo A. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D. 16. Russell J. 28. Tinsdale N.
22. Croker P. 30. Dancey S. 23. McNeill C. 32. Moore L. 11. Tabiner J. 29. Thibaut A.
Coaches
Kazim-Richards C.
Bell L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Gibson J. 🟨,
31', Arthurs J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mannone V. ↓, Michalski N. ↑,
51', Gordon K. 🟥,
52', Barker C. 🟨,
52', White J. 🟨,
55', Di Biase G. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
57', White J. ↓, Tabiner J. ↑,
64', Ebiowei M. 🟥,
65', Agius C. 🟨,
66', Demetriou M. 🟨,
67', Kazim-Richards C. 🟨,
67', Gibson J. ↓, McNeill C. ↑,
67', Krasniqi K. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
73', Duke-McKenna S. ↓, Kamara O. ↑,
73', Adeyemo A. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,
85', Demetriou M. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 1, March J. ⚽, Tabiner J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Crawley has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There are questionable in Crawley: Farquharson P.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.4:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Crewe
10
4
6
0
12:7
5
18
24
Crawley
8
1
2
5
8:15
-7
5
Last Results with these Odds
Crewe Alexandra - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.