The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crawley Town 32.4%
Draw 27.2%
Notts County 40.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
27.1%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
26.4%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Crawley Town - Notts County Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Notts County will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Notts County (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Davies H. (G) 42. Vassell T. 31. Odimayo A. 28. Flint J. 7. Forster H. 19. Pereira D. 26. Williams J. (C) 16. Russell J. 30. Copley L. 44. Lolos K. 99. Orsi-Dadomo D.
31. Belshaw J. (G) 28. Macari L. 5. Platt M. 4. Bedeau J. 25. Tsaroulla N. 8. Norburn O. 18. Palmer M. (C) 10. Jones J. 11. Grant C. 14. Iorpenda T. 29. Jatta A.
Substitutes
38. Adeyemo T. 6. Anderson M. 4. Bajrami G. 5. Barker C. 13. McKirdy H. 15. Radcliffe B. 34. Wollacott J. (G)
19. Dennis M. . Enoru B. 21. Griffiths H. (G) 26. Hall T. 36. Jarvis W. 17. Kouhyar Q. 12. Ness L.
Coaches
Lindsey S.
Paterson M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Williams J. 🟨,
54', 0 - 1, Jones J. ⚽, Tsaroulla N. (A),
64', Lolos K. 🟥,
68', Jones J. 🟨,
68', Pereira D. ↓, McKirdy H. ↑,
68', Williams J. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
69', Jones J. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
69', Grant C. ↓, Enoru B. ↑,
76', Iorpenda T. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Jatta A. ⚽,
85', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
86', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Kouhyar Q. ↑,
90+3', Ness L. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, McKirdy H. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 21 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 1.
Crawley is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Notts County has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Notts County may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Thigh Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Flower L.
(Inactive)
Malone S.
(Injury)
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M.
(Inactive)
Robertson S.
(Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
24
Crawley
8
1
2
5
8:15
-7
5
Last Results with these Odds
Crawley Town - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.79%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Notts County - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.07%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
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Davies H. (G) 
Pereira D. 
Williams J. (C) 
Russell J. 
Lolos K. 
Macari L. 
Bedeau J. 
Tsaroulla N. 
Jones J. 
Grant C. 
Jatta A. 
Adeyemo T. 
Bajrami G. 
Wollacott J. (G) 
Enoru B. 
Kouhyar Q. 
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