Match Info

League Two - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Bescot Stadium (Walsall)


	Walsall		Crawley Town

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.85	4.1
	1.75	4.19	3.99
	1.66	3.97	4.56	Watch
	1.7	4.1	3.9
	1.69	4.05	4.15
	1.69	3.95	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.73)	4.02 ↑ (3.96)	4.1 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walsall
54.4%

Draw
23%

Crawley Town
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

23.4%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

23.1%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Walsall aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Walsall - Crawley Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Postponed due to international match.

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 5th in the Promotion - League Two Playoffs - Semi - finals and 24th in the Relegation - National League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Walsall won 0.

Walsall has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Crawley has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Crawley could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Crawley has had a run of games away from home.

In this matchup, Walsall is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Walsall: Evans A. (Inactive) Pattison A. (Inactive) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury).

Confirmed absences for Crawley: Duke-McKenna S. (Inactive) Mannone V. (Inactive).

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Walsall has recorded 5 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:20 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Walsall against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 17:11 goals (averaging 1.7:1.1 per game).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Walsall: 3.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Walsall	9	3	6	0	12:6	6	15
24	Crawley	8	1	2	5	8:15	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Crawley Town - the odds 4.04 are the expected chance of winning is 22.96%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walsall FC
English League Two
26.09.26	Tranmere Rovers - Walsall	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Walsall - Stevenage Borough	1:6 ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Walsall - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Walsall - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Exeter City - Walsall	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWTT
- Crawley Town
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town	4:1 ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Grimsby Town - Crawley Town	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Accrington Stanley - Crawley Town	3:2 ✺
01.09.26	Northampton Town - Crawley Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
27.01.26	Walsall - Crawley Town	0:0
11.10.25	Crawley Town - Walsall	1:1
13.02.24	Crawley Town - Walsall	1:1
24.10.23	Walsall - Crawley Town	1:1
29.04.23	Crawley Town - Walsall	0:0
19.11.22	Walsall - Crawley Town	2:1
18.04.22	Crawley Town - Walsall	1:0

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