Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 15

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Badgers Sports Ground (Eltham)


	Cray Valley Paper Mills		Lewes

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	3.5
	1.99	3.73	3.15	Watch
	1.99	3.86	3.24
	1.78	3.8	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.74)	3.82 ↑ (3.79)	3.41 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cray Valley Paper Mills
49%

Draw
24.1%

Lewes
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

23.8%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

23.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cray Valley Paper Mills has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cray Valley Paper Mills than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Cray Valley Paper Mills - Lewes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Black S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 1 - 1, Walker Ch. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 9).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Lewes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cray Valley PM is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cray Valley PM won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Cray Valley PM won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cray Valley Paper Mills
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Brentwood Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Sittingbourne - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Canvey Island	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Cheshunt - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLT
- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.10.25	Lewes - Cheshunt	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Folkestone Invicta - Lewes	6:0 ✺
18.10.25	Aveley - Lewes	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Chichester City - Lewes	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Lewes - Leiston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.03.25	Lewes - Cray Valley Paper Mills	4:1
04.02.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Lewes	0:0

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