Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Badgers Sports Ground (Eltham)


	Cray Valley Paper Mills		Bognor Regis Town

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	5.5
	1.44	4.6	5.2
	1.44	4.8	5.36
	1.5	4.33	5
	1.43	4.45	5.73
	1.44	4.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.61)	4.52 ↑ (4.15)	5.33 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cray Valley Paper Mills
62.9%

Draw
20.1%

Bognor Regis Town
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

22%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

21.4%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cray Valley Paper Mills has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cray Valley Paper Mills's performance.

Bognor Regis Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Valley Paper Mills than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Cray Valley Paper Mills - Bognor Regis Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Cumberbatch K. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Beere T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 3 - 0, Aileru K. ⚽,
90', 4 - 0, Coombes A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Cray Valley PM is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bognor Regis is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cray Valley PM could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cray Valley PM is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cray Valley PM won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cray Valley Paper Mills
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.01.25	Bowers & Pitsea - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:2 ✺
04.01.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Hashtag United	1:5 ✺
01.01.25	Carshalton Athletic - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Cheshunt - Cray Valley Paper Mills	4:4 ✺
26.12.24	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Chatham Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWTT
- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.01.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Bognor Regis Town	3:4 ✺
01.01.25	Bognor Regis Town - Chichester City	1:4 ✺
28.12.24	Bognor Regis Town - Hastings United	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Horsham - Bognor Regis Town	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Potters Bar Town - Bognor Regis Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.10.24	Bognor Regis Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:3

Cray Valley Paper Mills - Bognor Regis Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide