Match Info

FA Trophy - Qualification - Final

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Lewes		Leiston

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3
	2.04	3.67	2.9
	2.13	3.4	2.99
	2.04	3.38	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.04)	3.43 ↑ (3.38)	2.97 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
43.5%

Draw
26.2%

Leiston
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

26.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

27.7%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Lewes - Leiston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Lewes has had a series of home games.

Lewes might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lewes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Leiston - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 29.85%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
23.09.25	St Albans City - Lewes	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Lewes - Ramsgate	2:2 ✺
09.09.25	Lewes - Chichester City	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Lewes - Cray Wanderers	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Lewes - Burgess Hill Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLTW
- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
23.09.25	Leiston - St Ives Town	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Leiston - Harborough Town	2:2 ✺
09.09.25	Bishops Stortford - Leiston	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Leiston - Quorn	2:3 ✺
25.08.25	Needham Market - Leiston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.12.15	Lewes - Leiston	1:1
22.08.15	Leiston - Lewes	2:1
21.03.15	Lewes - Leiston	0:2
06.01.15	Leiston - Lewes	3:0
26.04.14	Lewes - Leiston	5:1
11.01.14	Leiston - Lewes	2:2
13.04.13	Lewes - Leiston	0:1

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