Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Weston-super-Mare		Cray Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	4.5
	1.64	4.34	4.22
	1.65	4.34	4.22
	1.8	3.6	3.5
	1.61	4.25	4.45
	1.68	3.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.93)	4.08 ↑ (3.4)	4.15 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weston-super-Mare
55.2%

Draw
22.6%

Cray Wanderers
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

26.9%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston-super-Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Weston-super-Mare's performance.

Cray Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Weston-super-Mare that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Weston super Mare - Cray Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Weston-super-Mare is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cray is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cray could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Weston-super-Mare will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
04.11.23	Aveley - Weston-super-Mare	2:0 ✺
31.10.23	Dartford - Weston-super-Mare	4:2 ✺
28.10.23	Weston-super-Mare - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Weston-super-Mare - Torquay United	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	Braintree Town - Weston-super-Mare	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTWL
- Cray Wanderers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.11.23	Cray Wanderers - Carshalton Athletic	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Wingate & Finchley - Cray Wanderers	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Cray Wanderers - Chesham United	4:3 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.10.23	Canvey Island - Cray Wanderers	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Potters Bar Town - Cray Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWWLT

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