Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 19

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Margate		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.25
	2.7	3.5	2.25
	2.74	3.62	2.29
	2.74	3.62	2.29
	2.6	3.6	2.2
	2.67	3.44	2.29
	2.7	3.5	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.12)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	2.26 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Margate
34%

Draw
25.8%

Carshalton Athletic
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

23.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Margate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Margate's form might have worsened.

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carshalton Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Margate than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Margate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carshalton Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Margate - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Margate won 0.

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Recently Margate have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Margate won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Margate won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.12.23	Enfield Town - Margate	2:0 ✺
28.11.23	Bognor Regis Town - Margate	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Margate - Billericay Town	1:3 ✺
21.11.23	Horsham - Margate	1:0 ✺
18.11.23	Wingate & Finchley - Margate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL
- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.12.23	Carshalton Athletic - Cheshunt	1:4 ✺
28.11.23	Billericay Town - Carshalton Athletic	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Carshalton Athletic - Wingate & Finchley	2:3 ✺
21.11.23	Hastings United - Carshalton Athletic	4:0 ✺
11.11.23	Cray Wanderers - Carshalton Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.02.23	Margate - Carshalton Athletic	0:1
31.10.22	Carshalton Athletic - Margate	1:0
09.04.22	Carshalton Athletic - Margate	0:0
21.08.21	Margate - Carshalton Athletic	0:0
26.09.20	Margate - Carshalton Athletic	2:2
22.02.20	Margate - Carshalton Athletic	1:1
28.09.19	Carshalton Athletic - Margate	1:0

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