Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Cray Wanderers		Tonbridge Angels

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.7	2
	3	3.4	2
	3.1	3.75	2.05
	3	3.87	2.06
	3.08	3.81	2.09	Watch
	3.2	3.5	1.95
	3.29	3.56	2.01	Watch
	3.1	3.75	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.44)	3.67 ↓ (3.75)	2.03 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cray Wanderers
29.7%

Draw
25%

Tonbridge Angels
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

24%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

23.3%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tonbridge Angels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cray Wanderers - Tonbridge Angels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Fielding J. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Tonbridge will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cray Wanderers
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Brentwood Town - Cray Wanderers	2:1 penalties ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Cray Wanderers - Hastings United	3:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.09.24	Bognor Regis Town - Cray Wanderers	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
17.09.24	Wingate & Finchley - Cray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Cray Wanderers - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLWT
- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
05.10.24	Slough Town - Tonbridge Angels	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Tonbridge Angels - Walton & Hersham	2:1 ✺
English National League South
21.09.24	Tonbridge Angels - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Chippenham Town - Tonbridge Angels	0:0 ✺
03.09.24	Tonbridge Angels - St Albans City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTTW

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