Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 7

Date: 3 September 2024, Tuesday


	Tonbridge Angels		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.4
	1.72	3.5	4.75
	1.73	3.55	4.85
	1.69	3.48	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.33
	1.73	3.62	4.45
	1.72	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.03)	3.51 ↑ (3.48)	4.61 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
53.8%

Draw
26.2%

St Albans City
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

26.7%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

26.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tonbridge Angels's performance.

St Albans City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St Albans City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tonbridge Angels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St Albans City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Tonbridge Angels - St Albans City Predictions

Users Predictions: Tonbridge Angels will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 1 - 0, Robinson T. ⚽,
89', 2 - 0, Abraham T. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tonbridge won 3.

Tonbridge is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

St Albans has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tonbridge could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tonbridge is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Tonbridge won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Tonbridge won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
31.08.24	Tonbridge Angels - Salisbury	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Farnborough - Tonbridge Angels	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Tonbridge Angels - Bath City	0:0 ✺
19.08.24	Chelmsford City - Tonbridge Angels	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Aveley - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWTTT
- St Albans City
English National League South
31.08.24	Farnborough - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Dorking Wanderers - St Albans City	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	St Albans City - Chesham United	1:2 ✺
20.08.24	Hornchurch - St Albans City	1:0 ✺
17.08.24	St Albans City - Worthing	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
20.04.24	Tonbridge Angels - St Albans City	2:2
11.11.23	St Albans City - Tonbridge Angels	2:3
14.01.23	St Albans City - Tonbridge Angels	2:3
29.08.22	Tonbridge Angels - St Albans City	1:2
07.05.22	St Albans City - Tonbridge Angels	2:3
30.11.21	Tonbridge Angels - St Albans City	0:0
12.12.20	St Albans City - Tonbridge Angels	3:1

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