Match Info

National League South - Round 35

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Tonbridge Angels		Hampton & Richmond Borough

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.45	2.92
	2.22	3.62	2.92	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3
	2.2	3.28	2.95
	2	3.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.13)	3.36 ↓ (3.67)	2.97 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
42.1%

Draw
27.2%

Hampton & Richmond Borough
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

25.3%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Hampton & Richmond Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Tonbridge Angels - Hampton & Richmond Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Leahy T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Coleman De-Graft R. ⚽,
55', Frimpong K. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 18 and 19)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 1.

Recent form of Tonbridge has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hampton & Richmond has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tonbridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tonbridge might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tonbridge won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Tonbridge: 2.3% Hampton & Richmond: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Tonbridge	10	4	2	4	19:11	8	14
22	Hampton & Richmond	10	2	2	6	11:24	-13	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
21.02.26	Tonbridge Angels - Chippenham Town	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Hornchurch - Tonbridge Angels	3:2 ✺
10.02.26	Tonbridge Angels - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Tonbridge Angels - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Chelmsford City - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLTL
- Hampton & Richmond Borough
English National League South
21.02.26	Bath City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:4 ✺
17.02.26	Totton - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chelmsford City	1:3 ✺
10.02.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.11.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Tonbridge Angels	0:3
18.01.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Tonbridge Angels	2:0
21.09.24	Tonbridge Angels - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:2
29.03.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Tonbridge Angels	0:0
07.11.23	Tonbridge Angels - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:0
28.02.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Tonbridge Angels	0:1
20.08.22	Tonbridge Angels - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:4

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