Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Trevigliese		Sasso Marconi

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.1	2.52
	2.54	3.26	2.54	Watch
	2.49	3.2	2.51
	2.5	3.2	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.24)	3.19 ↓ (3.38)	2.54 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trevigliese
36%

Draw
28.3%

Sasso Marconi
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26.8%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

27.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trevigliese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Sasso Marconi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trevigliese than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trevigliese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Trevigliese - Sasso Marconi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

Trevigliese has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sasso Marconi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Trevigliese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Trevigliese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Trevigliese
Italian Serie D - Group D
18.01.26	Pro Sesto - Trevigliese	4:0 ✺
11.01.26	Progresso - Trevigliese	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Trevigliese - SantAngelo	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Trevigliese - Tuttocuoio	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Lentigione - Trevigliese	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTTL
- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
17.01.26	Sasso Marconi - Pistoiese	1:4 ✺
11.01.26	SantAngelo - Sasso Marconi	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sasso Marconi - Sangiuliano City Nova	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sasso Marconi - Progresso	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Imolese - Sasso Marconi	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
24.09.25	Sasso Marconi - Trevigliese	0:1

Trevigliese - Sasso Marconi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide