Match Info
Serie D - Group D - Round 21Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday
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 |
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Progresso |
|
Crema |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.28 |
3 |
2.98 |
|
 |
2.37 |
2.41 |
3.71 |
|
 |
2.35 |
2.63 |
3.5 |
 Watch |
 |
2.15 |
2.8 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.25 |
2.66 |
3.55 |
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 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
3.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.12) |
2.65 ↓
(3.15) |
3.46 ↑
(3.25) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Progresso
39.5% | Draw
34.3% | Crema
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Progresso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crema than the current prediction. (+0.1%)Progresso - Crema Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Progresso (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Progresso (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 83', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).Progresso has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Crema has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Progresso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.Including home match between the teams, Progresso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 15 | Crema | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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