Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 31

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)


	Cremonese		FeralpiSalò

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.58	3.9	5.5
	1.47	4.33	6.5	Watch
	1.5	4.59	6.6
	1.5	4.59	6.5
	1.44	4.33	6
	1.51	4.4	6.15	Watch
	1.48	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	4.33 ↑ (4.05)	6.24 ↑ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
63.1%

Draw
21.8%

FeralpiSalò
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

23%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

22.1%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

FeralpiSalò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Cremonese - FeralpiSalò Predictions

Users Predictions: Cremonese will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Jungdal A. (G) 26. Antov V. 5. Ravanelli L. 15. Bianchetti M. 98. Zanimacchia L. 71. Johnsen D. 19. Castagnetti M. 8. Collocolo M. 17. Sernicola L. 20. Vazquez F. 90. Coda M.	1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 66. Bergonzi F. 23. Ceppitelli L. (C) 87. Martella B. 16. Fiordilino L. 94. Letizia G. 20. Zennaro M. 10. Di Molfetta D. 97. Felici M. 11. Dubickas E. 91. La Mantia A.
Substitutes
32. Abrego G. 10. Buonaiuto C. 9. Ciofani D. 7. Falletti C. 18. Ghiglione P. 44. Lochoshvili L. 37. Majer Z. 4. Marrone L. 6. Pickel C. 33. Quagliata G. 21. Saro G. (G) 74. Tsadjout F.	70. Attys C. 9. Butic K. 14. Compagnon M. 6. Giudici L. 27. Hergheligiu D. 39. Kourfalidis C. 17. Krastev D. 18. Liverani L. (G) 28. Manzari G. 99. Pietrelli A. 19. Pilati A. 3. Tonetto M.
Coaches
Stroppa G.	Zaffaroni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Di Molfetta D. ↓, Kourfalidis C. ↑,
57', Dubickas E. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
64', Antov V. ↓, Quagliata G. ↑,
65', Vazquez F. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
71', La Mantia A. ↓, Butic K. ↑,
71', Zennaro M. ↓, Giudici L. ↑,
76', Collocolo M. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
76', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Ghiglione P. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Bergonzi F. ⚽,
82', Sernicola L. ↓, Ciofani D. ↑,
85', Felici M. ↓, Pilati A. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 2.

Cremonese is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches FeralpiSalò is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Cremonese is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cremonese won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Cremonese won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
16.03.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cremonese	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Cremonese - Como	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Modena - Cremonese	0:1 ✺
27.02.24	Sampdoria - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Cremonese - Palermo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWT
- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie B
16.03.24	FeralpiSalò - Parma	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Modena - FeralpiSalò	2:3 ✺
03.03.24	FeralpiSalò - Sampdoria	1:3 ✺
28.02.24	Spezia - FeralpiSalò	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	FeralpiSalò - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.12.23	FeralpiSalò - Cremonese	1:0
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Cremonese - FeralpiSalò	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
14.02.16	FeralpiSalò - Cremonese	4:2
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.11.15	FeralpiSalò - Cremonese	2:3
Italian Serie C Group A
03.10.15	Cremonese - FeralpiSalò	0:1
08.03.15	Cremonese - FeralpiSalò	3:2
19.10.14	FeralpiSalò - Cremonese	1:0

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