Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 26

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Leonardo Garilli (Piacenza)

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)


	FeralpiSalò		Ascoli

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.88	3.1	Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.95
	2.55	2.9	3	Watch
	2.6	3	3.1
	2.69	2.89	3.22
	2.45	3	2.8
	2.56	3.04	3.02	Watch
	2.55	2.9	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.5)	2.94 ↓ (3.03)	3.03 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FeralpiSalò
36.8%

Draw
32.1%

Ascoli
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

31.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

31.7%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FeralpiSalò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The chances for Ascoli have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FeralpiSalò than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

FeralpiSalò - Ascoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. FeralpiSalò will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Ascoli will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 8. Balestrero D. 23. Ceppitelli L. 87. Martella B. 66. Bergonzi F. 39. Kourfalidis C. 16. Fiordilino L. 10. Di Molfetta D. 97. Felici M. 28. Manzari G. 9. Butic K.	2. Viviano E. (G) 3. Mantovani V. 55. Bellusci G. 16. Vaisanen S. 23. Falzerano M. 73. Masini P. 18. Di Tacchio F. 7. Zedadka K. 90. Mendes P. 99. Rodriguez P. 41. Valzania L.
Substitutes
27. Hergheligiu D. 17. Krastev D. 91. La Mantia A. 94. Letizia G. 18. Liverani L. (G) 99. Pietrelli A. 19. Pilati A. 3. Tonetto M. 29. Verzeletti M. 61. Volpe G. (G) 7. Voltan D. 20. Zennaro M.	40. Bayeye B. J. 12. Bolletta L. (G) 33. Botteghin E. 10. Caligara F. 13. Celia R. 15. D'Uffizi S. 29. Duris D. 8. Giovane S. 20. Milanese T. 14. Quaranta D. 11. Streng J. 32. Vasquez Llach D. S. (G)
Coaches
Zaffaroni M.	Castori F.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ascoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches FeralpiSalò won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FeralpiSalò
Italian Serie B
17.02.24	Bari - FeralpiSalò	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	FeralpiSalò - Palermo	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Reggiana - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	FeralpiSalò - Lecco	5:1 ✺
20.01.24	FeralpiSalò - Catanzaro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLTWW
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
16.02.24	Ascoli - Cremonese	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Catanzaro - Ascoli	3:2 ✺
04.02.24	Ascoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Como - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Ascoli - Bari	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.08.23	Ascoli - FeralpiSalò	3:0

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