Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 11

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena)

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Modena		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.88	2.75	Watch
	2.75	3	2.65
	2.8	3	2.65	Watch
	2.96	3.1	2.76
	2.87	2.99	2.73	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.6
	2.83	3.1	2.64	Watch
	2.8	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.65)	3.03 ↓ (3.14)	2.68 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
33.6%

Draw
31.1%

Cremonese
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.9%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

30.3%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	56.2%	18.7%

Modena - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Cremonese will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Gagno R. (G) 25. Dellavalle A. 19. Zaro G. 23. Caldara M. 27. Idrissi R. 8. Santoro S. 16. Gerli F. 6. Magnino L. 10. Palumbo A. 20. Caso G. 92. Defrel G.	1. Fulignati A. (G) 4. Barbieri T. 5. Ravanelli L. 15. Bianchetti M. 17. Sernicola L. 98. Zanimacchia L. 6. Pickel C. 18. Collocolo M. 19. Castagnetti M. 11. Johnsen D. 90. Bonazzoli F.
Substitutes
90. Abiuso F. 78. Bagheria F. (G) 5. Battistella T. 2. Beyuku G. 31. Botteghin E. 21. Bozhanaj K. 33. Cauz C. 29. Cotali M. 18. Di Pardo A. 7. Duca E. 24. Oliva M. 1. Sassi J. (G)	26. Antov V. 10. Buonaiuto C. 9. De Luca M. 44. Lochoshvili L. 37. Majer Z. 62. Milanese T. 42. Moretti L. 99. Nasti M. 3. Quagliata G. 21. Saro G. (G) 27. Vandeputte J. 20. Vazquez F.
Coaches
Bisoli P.	Corini E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Bonazzoli F. ⚽, Zanimacchia L. (A),
23', Magnino L. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Caso G. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Dellavalle A. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pickel C. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
47', Santoro S. 🟨,
59', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
59', Sernicola L. ↓, Quagliata G. ↑,
64', 2 - 2, Vazquez F. ⚽,
65', Magnino L. ↓, Battistella T. ↑,
65', Caso G. ↓, Abiuso F. ↑,
69', Bonazzoli F. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
70', Idrissi R. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
76', Vazquez F. 🟨,
78', Dellavalle A. ↓, Di Pardo A. ↑,
78', Defrel G. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
79', De Luca M. 🟨,
87', Johnsen D. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
88', Quagliata G. 🟨,
90', Castagnetti M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Modena: Mendes P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Modena: Ponsi F. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Modena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:11 (average 0.5:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
26.10.24	Sassuolo - Modena	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Modena - Palermo	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Catanzaro - Modena	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Modena - Sampdoria	1:3 ✺
21.09.24	Modena - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTLW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
26.10.24	Cremonese - Salernitana	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Juve Stabia - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Cremonese - Bari	1:1 ✺
30.09.24	Brescia - Cremonese	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.09.24	Cagliari - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
03.03.24	Modena - Cremonese	0:1
23.12.23	Cremonese - Modena	4:0
Coppa Italia
20.10.22	Cremonese - Modena	4:2 ET
Club Friendly
29.08.15	Modena - Cremonese	0:2

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