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Monza - Torino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • ITALY: Serie A - Round 27
  • Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday
  • Location: Brianteo (Monza)
  • Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Monza Torino
    Monza Torino
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 4.41 ↑
    (3.3)    		 3.29 ↑
    (3.19)    		 1.93 ↓
    (2.32)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Monza
    21.6%    		Draw
    29%    		Torino
    49.4%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    28.9% 29.9% 41.2%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    29.2% 30.2% 40.8%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monza's form might have worsened.
  • Torino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torino's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torino than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    4.2% 10.4% 85.4%

    Monza - Torino Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 2 - 4.3%). Torino will win (votes: 40 - 87%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Torino: 77.3% – 96.7%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    30. ItalyTurati S. (G)
    33. ItalyD'Ambrosio D.
      4. ItalyIzzo A. (C)
    22. ArgentinaPalacios T.
    19. ItalyBirindelli S.
    13. PortugalPereira P.
    18. ItalyZeroli K.
    42. ItalyBianco A.
    77. GreeceKyriakopoulos G.
    35. RepublicGanvoula S.
    17. SenegalBalde K.
    		32. SerbiaMilinkovic-Savic V. (G)
      4. PolandWalukiewicz S.
    13. ChileMaripan G.
    23. EquatorialCoco S.
    34. ItalyBiraghi C.
    22. ItalyCasadei C.
    28. ItalyRicci S. (C)
    20. AustriaLazaro V.
    10. CroatiaVlasic N.
    11. NorthElmas E.
    18. ScotlandAdams C.
    Substitutes
      2. SwedenBrorsson A.
    11. ItalyCastrovilli G.
    84. ItalyCiurria P.
    57. ItalyColombo L.
    20. EnglandForson O.
      3. SerbiaLekovic S.
    55. ItalyMartins K.
    69. ItalyMazza A. (G)
    47. PortugalMota D.
    32. ItalyPessina M.
    37. ItalyPetagna A.
    21. ItalyPizzignacco S. (G)
      8. PolandUrbanski K.
    80. ItalyVignato S.
    		21. FranceDembele A.
    17. ItalyDonnarumma A. (G)
    66. LithuaniaGineitis G.
      8. SerbiaIlic I.
      7. IvoryKaramoh Y.
    77. PolandLinetty K.
      5. MoroccoMasina A.
      1. ItalyPaleari A. (G)
    16. NorwayPedersen M.
      9. ParaguaySanabria A.
    24. CroatiaSosa B.
    Coaches
         ItalyNesta A.
    		     ItalyVanoli P.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 28', Birindelli S. 🟨,
    • 41', 0 - 1, Elmas E. ⚽, Lazaro V. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 57', Birindelli S. ↓, Urbanski K. ↑,
    • 57', Ganvoula S. ↓, Mota D. ↑,
    • 66', 0 - 2, Casadei C. ⚽,
    • 68', Lazaro V. ↓, Karamoh Y. ↑,
    • 68', Adams C. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
    • 70', Zeroli K. ↓, Vignato S. ↑,
    • 70', D'Ambrosio D. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
    • 76', Balde K. ↓, Castrovilli G. ↑,
    • 78', Casadei C. ↓, Gineitis G. ↑,
    • 80', Palacios T. 🟨,
    • 80', Maripan G. 🟨,
    • 89', Coco S. 🟨,
    • 90', Elmas E. ↓, Linetty K. ↑,

    Preview

  • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 11).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 0.
  • Monza has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
  • Recent matches Torino is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
  • Torino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
  • In this match Torino is a favorite.
  • There will not play in Monza: Gagliardini R. (Thigh Injury) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury) Sensi S. (Injury)
  • There will not play in Torino: Ilkhan E. (Knee Injury) Savva Z. (Injury) Schuurs P. (Knee Injury) Zapata D. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Monza: Akpa Akpro J. (Injury) Caldirola L. (Injury) Caprari G. (Injury) Carboni A. (Injury) Castrovilli G. (Injury) Forson O. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Torino: Ilic I. (Muscle Injury) Njie A. (Injury) Tameze A. (Injury)
  • Last 7 head-to-head matches Monza won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.7:1.6).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.8:2).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Monza 1912
    Italian Serie A
    24.02.25 Roma - Monza 4:0 ✺
    16.02.25 Monza - Lecce 0:0 ✺
    09.02.25 Lazio - Monza 5:1 ✺
    01.02.25 Monza - Verona 0:1 ✺
    27.01.25 Genoa - Monza 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1
    LTLLL
    - Torino FC
    Italian Serie A
    22.02.25 Torino - Milan 2:1 ✺
    14.02.25 Bologna - Torino 3:2 ✺
    08.02.25 Torino - Genoa 1:1 ✺
    01.02.25 Atalanta - Torino 1:1 ✺
    24.01.25 Torino - Cagliari 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4
    WLTTW
    Latest Head to Head
    Italian Serie A
    24.11.24 Torino - Monza 1:1
    30.03.24 Torino - Monza 1:0
    11.11.23 Monza - Torino 1:1
    07.05.23 Torino - Monza 1:1
    Club Friendly
    28.12.22 Monza - Torino 1:4
    Italian Serie A
    13.08.22 Monza - Torino 1:2
    Club Friendly
    04.01.17 Monza - Torino 0:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Monza 1912
    Italian Serie A
    11.10.26 Lazio - Monza ✺
    - Torino FC
    Italian Serie A
    12.10.26 Torino - Udinese ✺

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