Match Info

Date: 16 February 2020, Sunday


	Cremonese		Trapani

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.87	4.2	Watch
	2.1	3	4
	2.15	2.75	4.2	Watch
	2.06	2.88	3.6
	2.21	2.91	4.13
	2.05	3.2	3.7
	2.17	2.95	4.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.03)	2.94 ↓ (3)	3.98 ↓ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cremonese
44.4%

Draw
32%

Trapani
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

31.4%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

19.3%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Trapani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cremonese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trapani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cremonese - Trapani Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
11.02.20	Spezia - Cremonese	3:2 ✺
08.02.20	Crotone - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
31.01.20	Cremonese - Pisa	3:4 ✺
25.01.20	Virtus Entella - Cremonese	1:1 ✺
18.01.20	Cremonese - Venezia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLTT
- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie B
10.02.20	Salernitana - Trapani	1:0 ✺
01.02.20	Trapani - Cittadella	0:3 ✺
26.01.20	Venezia - Trapani	1:1 ✺
18.01.20	Trapani - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
29.12.19	Crotone - Trapani	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.09.19	Trapani - Cremonese	0:0
Club Friendly
26.07.16	Trapani - Cremonese	2:0
Coppa Italia
17.08.14	Trapani - Cremonese	1:2
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
12.05.13	Cremonese - Trapani	3:4
22.12.12	Trapani - Cremonese	0:0

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