Match Info

Date: 25 April 2022, Monday


	Crotone		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.1	3.5	1.83
	4.25	3.7	1.78
	4	3.4	1.85
	4.36	3.75	1.88
	4.6	3.6	1.73
	4.3	3.75	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↑ (3.98)	3.6 (3.6)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Crotone
22.3%

Draw
26%

Cremonese
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

25.9%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

25.3%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	15%	50%

Crotone - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 14 - 35%). Cremonese will win (votes: 20 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 34.5% – 65.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Crotone has the most likely position - 19 (80.72%), has project points - 25, has currently - 22, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Cremonese has the most likely position - 1 (40.96%), has project points - 71, has currently - 66, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (36%), has a good chance of promoted (73%), has a chance of win league (41%).

This event has small quality 30, importance 51, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Crotone is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cremonese is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Cremonese is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crotone won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie B
18.04.22	SPAL - Crotone	1:1 ✺
10.04.22	Crotone - Ternana	1:2 ✺
06.04.22	Vicenza Virtus - Crotone	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Crotone - Perugia	1:1 ✺
19.03.22	Monza - Crotone	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLTTL
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
18.04.22	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
09.04.22	Frosinone - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
05.04.22	Cremonese - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
02.04.22	Cremonese - Reggina	1:1 ✺
20.03.22	SPAL - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.12.21	Cremonese - Crotone	3:2
08.02.20	Crotone - Cremonese	1:0
21.09.19	Cremonese - Crotone	2:1
13.04.19	Crotone - Cremonese	0:0
01.12.18	Cremonese - Crotone	1:0

Upcoming Matches