Match Info

Serie B - Play Offs - Final

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	ZhiBo8
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom


	Spezia		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
	2.48	3.2	2.8	Watch
	2.65	3.31	2.84
	2.61	3.22	2.81	Watch
	2.45	3	3
	2.61	3.26	2.8	Watch
	2.48	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.32)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	2.86 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Spezia
37.3%

Draw
29.6%

Cremonese
33.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

28.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.6%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Spezia - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Cremonese will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Spezia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Gori S. (G) 2. Wisniewski P. 55. Hristov P. 37. Mateju A. 7. Elia S. 5. Esposito Sa. 8. Nagy A. 25. Bandinelli F. 31. Aurelio G. 9. Esposito F. 20. Di Serio G.	1. Fulignati A. (G) 4. Barbieri T. 23. Ceccherini F. 55. Folino F. 20. Vazquez F. 18. Collocolo M. 19. Castagnetti M. 27. Vandeputte J. 7. Azzi P. 9. De Luca M. 11. Johnsen D.
Substitutes
44. Benvenuto M. 36. Candelari P. 29. Cassata F. 23. Chichizola L. (G) 17. Colak A. 11. Falcinelli D. 4. Ferrer S. 65. Giorgeschi S. 80. Kouda R. 10. Lapadula G. 13. Reca A. 32. Vignali L.	26. Antov V. 15. Bianchetti M. 90. Bonazzoli F. 12. Drago G. (G) 14. Gelli F. 37. Majer Z. 42. Moretti L. 99. Nasti M. 6. Pickel C. 30. Tannander J. (G) 8. Valoti M. 98. Zanimacchia L.
Coaches
D'Angelo L.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Esposito F. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, De Luca M. ⚽, Vazquez F. (A),
36', Vazquez F. 🟨,
41', Barbieri T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
63', 0 - 2, Collocolo M. ⚽, Vandeputte J. (A),
64', Nagy A. ↓, Cassata F. ↑,
64', Bandinelli F. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
66', Vandeputte J. 🟨,
68', Di Serio G. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
73', Castagnetti M. ↓, Pickel C. ↑,
73', Vandeputte J. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
77', Elia S. ↓, Reca A. ↑,
78', Mateju A. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
79', 0 - 3, De Luca M. ⚽, Azzi P. (A),
80', Vazquez F. ↓, Valoti M. ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Esposito F. ⚽, Esposito Sa. (A),
85', 2 - 3, Vignali L. ⚽, Kouda R. (A),
90+3', De Luca M. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
90+3', Barbieri T. ↓, Bianchetti M. ↑,
90+5', Vignali L. 🟥,
90+6', Johnsen D. 🟨,
90+9', Nasti M. 🟥,
90+9', Reca A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 0.

Spezia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Cremonese has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Spezia might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Spezia: Degli Innocenti D. (Injury) Sarr M. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Cremonese: Saro G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Spezia: Soleri E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cremonese: Castagnetti M. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Spezia - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
29.05.25	Cremonese - Spezia	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Spezia - Catanzaro	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Catanzaro - Spezia	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Spezia - Nuova Cosenza	3:1 ✺
09.05.25	Spezia - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWWWL
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
29.05.25	Cremonese - Spezia	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Cremonese - Juve Stabia	3:0 ✺
21.05.25	Juve Stabia - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
13.05.25	Pisa - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
09.05.25	Spezia - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.05.25	Cremonese - Spezia	0:0
09.05.25	Spezia - Cremonese	2:3
14.09.24	Cremonese - Spezia	1:1
20.01.24	Spezia - Cremonese	0:1
05.11.23	Cremonese - Spezia	3:0
Italian Serie A
06.05.23	Cremonese - Spezia	2:0
16.10.22	Spezia - Cremonese	2:2

Upcoming Matches