Match Info

Date: 16 March 2021, Tuesday


	Virtus Entella		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.95	Watch
	4.2	3.1	2
	4	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.9	3.15	1.96
	4.31	3.28	2.03
	4.2	3.1	2
	4.1	3.18	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.35)	3.19 ↑ (3.17)	1.99 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
23%

Draw
29.5%

Cremonese
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

29.7%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

21.8%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virtus Entella's form might have worsened.

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cremonese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cremonese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	40%	48%

Virtus Entella - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 3 - 12%). Cremonese will win (votes: 12 - 48%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cremonese: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Virtus Entella has a very good chance of relegated (96%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Cremonese has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Virtus Entella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cremonese is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Entella won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
12.03.21	SPAL - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
06.03.21	Virtus Entella - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
02.03.21	Lecce - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
27.02.21	Virtus Entella - Brescia	1:1 ✺
20.02.21	Venezia - Virtus Entella	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TTTTL
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
13.03.21	Cremonese - Reggiana	3:0 ✺
06.03.21	Cremonese - Salernitana	0:1 ✺
02.03.21	Vicenza Virtus - Cremonese	3:1 ✺
27.02.21	Cremonese - Frosinone	4:0 ✺
20.02.21	Brescia - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.12.20	Cremonese - Virtus Entella	2:1
25.01.20	Virtus Entella - Cremonese	1:1
31.08.19	Cremonese - Virtus Entella	0:1
25.03.18	Cremonese - Virtus Entella	0:1
24.10.17	Virtus Entella - Cremonese	1:1
Coppa Italia
06.08.17	Virtus Entella - Cremonese	0:1
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
04.05.14	Cremonese - Virtus Entella	1:2

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