Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 42

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday

Location: Alexandra Stadium (Crewe)

Referee: Eltringham G. (Eng)


	Crewe Alexandra		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	5
	1.72	3.75	4.5
	1.72	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.91	4.82
	1.72	3.91	4.82
	1.7	3.75	4.6
	1.74	3.78	4.45	Watch
	1.67	3.7	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.75)	3.79 ↑ (3.65)	4.68 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
55%

Draw
24.8%

Forest Green Rovers
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

25.4%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

24.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Crewe Alexandra - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Crewe Alexandra will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Booth T. (G) 28. Billington L. 12. Turns E. 5. Demetriou M. 3. Adebisi R. 17. Holicek M. 25. Austerfield J. 10. Tracey S. 7. Long Ch. (C) 30. Kirk C. 20. Nevitt E.	39. Reyes V. (G) 5. Inniss R. 36. Keogh R. 15. Moore-Taylor J. (C) 16. Thompson D. 8. McCann C. 46. Osadebe E. 17. Robson J. 7. McAllister K. 10. Doidge C. 11. Garrick J.
Substitutes
33. Agius C. 2. Cooney R. 1. Davies H. (G) 14. Leigh L. 21. Rowe A. 4. Williams Z. 32. Woodcock M.	3. Bernard D. 27. Bunker H. 25. Dabo F. 28. Jones C. 18. Maddox J. 23. Omotoye T. 20. Searle J. (G)
Coaches
Bell L.	Cotterill S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Garrick J. ⚽, Doidge C. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Garrick J. ⚽, Inniss R. (A),
28', 0 - 3, Robson J. ⚽, McCann C. (A),
34', Turns E. ↓, Cooney R. ↑,
35', Austerfield J. ↓, Leigh L. ↑,
43', Nevitt E. 🟨,
43', Inniss R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Long Ch. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
52', Osadebe E. 🟨,
64', McAllister K. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
65', Garrick J. ↓, Omotoye T. ↑,
75', Kirk C. 🟨,
76', Adebisi R. 🟨,
77', Kirk C. ↓, Williams Z. ↑,
87', Jones C. 🟨,
90+5', Doidge C. ↓, Dabo F. ↑,
90+8', McCann C. ↓, Maddox J. ↑,
90+8', Osadebe E. ↓, Bunker H. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Crewe is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Crewe won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
29.03.24	Gillingham - Crewe Alexandra	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Crewe Alexandra - AFC Wimbledon	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Crewe Alexandra	3:1 ✺
12.03.24	Crewe Alexandra - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Doncaster Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTLWL
- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
29.03.24	Forest Green Rovers - Stockport County	0:3 ✺
23.03.24	Doncaster Rovers - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Forest Green Rovers - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
12.03.24	Bradford City - Forest Green Rovers	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Forest Green Rovers - Walsall	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
09.09.23	Forest Green Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	1:4
26.11.19	Forest Green Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	0:0
27.04.19	Crewe Alexandra - Forest Green Rovers	4:3
22.12.18	Forest Green Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	1:0
20.03.18	Crewe Alexandra - Forest Green Rovers	3:1
18.11.17	Forest Green Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	3:2

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